Last Week: 2-3

Disclaimer: I’m not an expert. I’m just a fan who likes to watch football and gamble on games. No one is actually good at this. Bet responsibly.

Washington -4

The Huskies have fallen a little bit off the radar since their hot start to the season, but this is a good opportunity for them to get back on everyone’s mind. I think Oregon States defense will have trouble keeping up with Michael Penix Jr who leads the country in passing yards per game.

Texas A&M -3

Texas A&M is in a difficult place as a program. 3-5 is not Texas A&M’s standard by any means and they are desperate for a win. Florida is honestly no better then Texas A&M. The Gators are not consistent enough to be favorites in this game. At home, the aggies are capable of getting a win.

Kansas ML

After a magical first 5 games, the Jayhawks have lost 3 in a row coming into this one. Despite the losses, they are still performing well statistically. Kansas is ranked 6th in yards per play, and 10th in touchdowns. I think this is a good spot for them to get bowl eligible against an overvalued Oklahoma State team.

Arkansas -14

I just don’t believe Liberty can beat a solid SEC team. It’s that simple. Liberty isn’t the same Malik Willis teams of the past. I don’t think what has worked in their conference play will work in Fayetteville.

Texas -2.5

Texas got a lot of heat after being the only 3 loss team ranked this week. I think it’s about the right place for them. When Quinn Ewers is on, this the Longhorns can play with or beat anyone. Kansas State feels like there in a potential letdown spot after dismantling Oklahoma State last weekend. They are allegedly getting Adrian Martinez back as well, but I don’t think it makes enough of a difference.

Notre Dame +3.5

Clemson was ranked at No.4 in the first CFP rankings earlier this week and I’m not confident this is an accurate ranking. Clemson is no push over, but they make too many errors to be No.4. They have escaped a lot of teams they should be handling easily. Notre Dame feels like a team that can pick them off. The Irish need as statement win desperately to keep hope in the season. A win against Syracuse was good, but beating Clemson changes the entire outlook of the season.

Wake Forrest -4

Wake Forrest got flat out embarrassed last week in a disgusting game against Louisville. Taking a team that turns the ball over 6 times in one quarter is never ideal, but I do think this was a fluke. Sam Hartman is still a talented QB and leader. He should be able to lead the Deacons over an NCST with a backup QB.

James Maddison +7

Just as I’m expecting Wake Forrest to bounce back, I’m expecting a let down from Louisville. Last week was likely peak performance for Louisville, and the high of beating Wake Forrest may come to a abrupt stop. This number feels inflated based off last weeks performance. James Maddison is a talented team capable of knocking off many power 5 teams. After a few loses they are likely undervalued.