Last week 1-4

Disclaimer: I am not an expert. I’m just a fan who likes to watch football and bet on the games. No one is actually good at this. Bet responsibly.

Patriots ML

The Jets have been a great story of the NFL season, but I’m going to need to see more to become a believer. They have a lot of wins that seem, flawed against backup QBs and a dysfunctional packers team. They also lost Breece Hall, who was their biggest threat on offense. It was clear last week against the Broncos that the offense struggles without him. A well-coached team I think can take advantage of the Jets in this situation, in what may be a reality check for New York.

Steeler/Eagles Under 43

I saw a stat earlier this week that claimed NFL games with double-digit favorites are allegedly 56% under. Going to trust the stats and go with it here. These are also two teams with strong defenses. It will largely depend on how well the Eagles’ offense plays. I don’t think the Steelers will be able to score a lot of points in this game. The Steeler’s best chance to win this game is to slow the game down and keep it low scoring.

Seahawks -3

I’m still not convinced about this Giants team, and they are in a difficult spot here. They traveled down to Jacksonville last weekend and now they have to make another cross-country road trip to Seattle. I think that can really weigh on a team and affect performance. Seattle is too good to not play at full strength, this could be a reality check for the Giants

Bills/Packers Under 47

Once against I’m going with the stats. Regardless these are two teams with strong defenses. Many are anticipating a blowout here, I think the game should still be fairly close. A blowout isn’t the end of the world either. The Bills can win this game 30-10 and it’s still under. I don’t see this game turning into a shootout.